HomeAnalyticsSummary – August 7, 2014

Summary – August 7, 2014

The bad news:

1. Talks about the possible introduction of Putin’s troops into Ukraine began to reach a panic level. Today, I even got phone calls from the people in Kyiv–who kept asking, is it time to move the family out?

Let’s understand that the threat of an open Russian invasion has already existed to some degree of probability for five consecutive months without interruption. Currently, the most likely format [of invasion], as you know, is aggression under the guise of a “peacekeeping operation.”

Moscow has accumulated enough forces and means near the border for this operation, aimed at taking control of Donbas. But, we do not see a set of Russian troops with the help of whom [Russia] could target something other than Luhansk and Donetsk Oblasts (or more precisely, the parts of them now controlled by terrorists), and attempt to invade Kherson Oblast from Crimea (although this option is highly disadvantageous from the military point of view, because it can be easily disrupted).

Our military leadership is convinced that the army can protect the Donbas, and Kherson to Odessa, from Russian invaders. And that everyone else can sleep completely easy. At least for now.

2. Terrorists shot down an ATO forces Mi-8 ambulance helicopter, which was flying to pick up the wounded under an agreement with the freak-insurgents. Also, as reported by the ATO headquarters (we are currently verifying this information), the terrorists downed a Ukrainian MiG-29 fighter jet over Yenakijeve [Donetsk Oblast]–according to preliminary data, this was done from the “Buk” SAM [surface to air missile].

No comment [on this occurrence]. I only regret that we don’t have public executions for Putin’s bastards.

3. The Kostopil police department in the Ministry of Internal Affairs of Ukraine at Rivne Oblast began an investigation into the installation of a tombstone depicting Russian President Vladimir Putin. The criminal proceeding has been initiated in accordance with Art. 296 of the Criminal Code of Ukraine (hooliganism).

Earlier, the local organization of the “Right Sector” party held an action, “Putin’s Funeral.” They installed a tombstone with his image at the entrance to Kostopil from the direction of Rivne. On the monument are the following dates: 07.10.1952 – 05.09.

It is not clear what angered the police so much–since Putin’s date of death has not been specified, no one wished him ill. We don’t incarcerate the old ladies who are preparing for death. Or do Kostopil policemen believe in the immortality of the Russian president?

Once again, hooliganism by definition is an anti-social act, a flagrant violation of public order. And if the public rejoices and has fun from the act, and generally supports it in every way–then what is hooliganism? This is a show. Russians have been putting on a show for decades with a perfectly real corpse in the mausoleum on Red Square–and nothing’s happened. No criminal cases have been initiated [there].

The good news:

1. A special operation to unblock the divisions of the 79th Brigade is finally completed. Military personnel have been withdrawn to a safe area. The guys from the 72nd Brigade, who returned from Russia, have also been sent on vacation.

The fate of these military units troubled many [people] for a long time. It’s good that this hell has finally ended. According to our data, all further options that are being considered by ATO leaders regarding blocking the border will eliminate the possibility of a blockade of any of our units who will perform these tasks.

2. The Security Service of Ukraine [SBU] outlined its account of the downed Boeing.

The Buk [missile] which hit the plane was driven from Russia by a full-time crew (by the way, we reported that from the beginning). Having confused their destinations, they launched their missile from another [launch] point–not at the Russian Aeroflot plane (AFL-2074 en route Moscow–Larnaca) as planned, but at the Boeing [Malaysian Airlines MH17].

Accordingly, the airplane fell not onto territory under [Ukrainian] Army control, but into the hands of the insurgents. The insurgents themselves rejoiced about the “downed AN-26,” since they were not privy to the details–which is also understandable. This whole operation was planned in order to justify the invasion of Ukraine by Russia, scheduled for July 18th.

As for me, this version puts everything in its place. The only clarification being: intensive training for the open conflict in fact began as early as July 15th, when Russian reconnaissance and sabotage groups that were supposed to “pave the way” for Russian troops, began to enter Ukraine. And in my summary for July 18th, I wrote that, one day the [Ukrainian] security services will tell us how close we were to the [Russian] invasion (according to our estimates, it should have taken place on the night of July 17th). And now they have told us…

Everything was prepared, verified, and stood at a ready alert, when crooked-handed Russian fighters suddenly disrupted the entire plan. Although, if it were not for their crooked-handedness, who knows what would be happening in Ukraine right now…

3. A lot of talk continues about the fact that Putin has imposed sanctions against Western countries that had previously imposed sanctions against Putin. 

If you ask me, Ukraine should give Putin the Order for a ban on the import of food products to the Russian Federation from these countries. Since this pepper in fact strengthened Western sanctions and imposed additional sanctions against himself as well–on positions which the EU and the United States did not even consider. Well, who would have helped us more to punish Russia, if not its simple-minded and ambitious president?

Dmitry Tymchuk, Coordinator, Information Resistance

Translated and edited by Voices of Ukraine


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